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Conflict Gauge: Iran

The Iran war, measured every week.

Weekly and monthly data editions on what the record shows, and whether the data supports a claim. 13 theatres, read since 28 Feb 2026.

This week|W22, 24 to 30 May

2,297

events recorded, up 8% on the prior four-week median.

2,1252,297Four-weekmedianW22
Where Conflict Gauge looks: 11 country theatres, 2 water theatres and the chokepoints, with Gaza and the West Bank, Syria and Turkey also measured.IranIraqSaudi ArabiaYemenOmanUAESyriaTurkeyQatarBahrainKuwaitIsraelLebanonGaza and theWest BankThe Gulf andHormuzRed Sea andBab al-MandabHormuz chokepointBab al-Mandab chokepointSuez chokepoint
  • 11 country theatres
  • 2 water theatres and the chokepoints
  • Also measured: Gaza and the West Bank, Syria, Turkey

Read every week since 28 Feb 2026, from reports in Arabic, Persian, Hebrew and English. Map: Natural Earth. Boundaries are shown for reference only.

This week on the record

Edition 2026-W22, 24 to 30 May, from its free digest

Events recorded

2,297

up 8% on the prior four-week median (2,125)

Escalation days

1

in the week

Busiest theatre

Israel

802 events

Suez *

40.6

transits a day, against a median of 40.5 over the four weeks before

* How this figure is countedTransits are the daily count of container ships, bulk carriers, general cargo ships, ro-ro ships and tankers, with no size threshold, tracked by satellite as they cross the chokepoint, each ship counted once per crossing (IMF PortWatch); Lloyd's List counts only cargo vessels over 10,000 dwt, so its figures differ.

Read this week's digestUsing these figures

A showcase finding

Conflict Gauge: Iran|Gulf airspace

Gulf air traffic more than doubled in two weeks, then held.

The Persian Gulf averaged 602 aircraft a day in 1 to 14 Jun and 1,429 in 22 to 30 Jun, after the 17 Jun ceasefire. September averaged 1,535.

Aircraft data: adsb.lol (ODbL 1.0).

05001,0001,5001 to 14 Jun: 6026021 to 14 Jun22 to 30 Jun: 1,4291,42922 to 30 JunSeptember: 1,5351,535Septemberaircraft a day, Persian Gulf

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